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5:03pm EST: With the late day run to 1099 , it looks like we are in wave iii-(3)-1-[1]-P3 of the primary count or wave iii-(3)-A-[B]-P2 or the 1st alternate count (purple). Both counts are targeting the 1120/1130 area for wave (3) completion and the 1140 to 1150 area for wave (5) completion. There is some heavy resistance in the 1105 to 1115 band, so this wave iii-(3) is going to need some legs over the next 2 to 3 days to get through that area. The 2nd alternate count has been revised to a wave (4)-[A]-P2 triangle with a wave (5)-[A]-P2 targeting levels under 1040 once the triangle completes over the next 2 days. As always, my primary count is the most favored in terms of probability, followed by the 1st alternate and finally the 2nd alternate. Both the primary and 1st alternate are pointing to more upward price action over then near and intermediate term. And the 2nd alternate is point to more downward movement over the near term, but upward movement in the intermediate term. So the intermediate term trend is up by all three of my counts.
SP-500 15-min Chart (EOD):
SP-500 60-min Chart (EOD):
8:47am EST: ES Futures traded in a tight range 1067 to 1078 (1070 to 1081) overnight. The key levels to watch are 1065 and 1090 in the cash markets. A break below the 1065 gap and a fresh low below 1041 is very likely by the end of this week. Conversely, if 1090 can taken and held, then the next target is 1115/20.
SP-500 ES Futures 60-min Chart (8:18am):
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
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